Bloomberg: Global Clean Energy Investment Declined 11% in 2012
Clean Edge News
Clean energy investment declined 11% in 2012, weighed down by regulatory uncertainty and policy changes in big markets such as the US, India, Spain and Italy. Sharply lower prices of solar and wind technology also exerted downward pressure on investment volumes, though they allow higher installation levels per dollar of funding. The figures from research company Bloomberg New Energy Finance, based on the world’s leading database of transactions and projects in clean energy, show that overall global investment in 2012 was $268.7bn, down from a revised figure of $302.3bn in 2011. The 2012 investment total was the second highest ever, and five times that of 2004.
The highlight of the 2012 total for clean energy investment was a record $67.7bn outlay by China, up 20% on the previous year thanks to a surge in its solar sector. Its total was more than 50% above that of the second-placed country, the US, with $44.2bn. In 2011, the US pipped China for first position as investors rushed to take advantage of stimulus-related programs before they expired. Other strong performers were South Africa, which saw investment leap to $5.5bn, from just a few tens of millions in 2011, as its tender process for wind and solar led to a string of large project financings; and Japan, where the fresh emphasis on renewable power after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011 and the start of a new subsidy program, helped investment soar 75% in 2012 to $16.3bn .
Among countries experiencing falls in investment were the US, with a 32% drop in the face of worries during most of the year about the expiry of a key support program and competition from gas-fired projects; a 51% plunge in Italian investment to $14.7bn as policy changes there curbed the country’s solar photovoltaics boom; a 68% decrease in Spain to just $3bn as its government announced a moratorium on subsidies for projects not yet approved; and a 44% setback in India, reflecting the expiry of incentives for wind, and fewer project approvals for solar.
Michael Liebreich, chief executive of Bloomberg New Energy Finance, said: “We warned at the start of last year that investment in 2012 was likely to fall below 2011 levels, but rumours of the death of clean energy investment have been greatly exaggerated. Indeed, the most striking aspect of these figures is that the decline was not bigger – given the fierce headwinds the clean energy sector faced in 2012 as a result of policy uncertainty, the ongoing European fiscal crisis, and continuing sharp falls in technology costs. Solar PV module prices, for instance, fell another 24% over the course of last year."
Looking at the 2012 data in more detail, the new investment total of $268.7bn was made up of five main parts. The largest of these was asset finance of utility-scale renewable energy projects, such as wind farms, solar parks and biofuel plants. This totalled $148.6bn, down from $180bn in 2011. Next biggest was small-scale project investment, primarily rooftop solar, which came in at $80.2bn, up from $76.5bn in the previous year. Corporate and government research and development totalled $30.2bn in 2012, up marginally on 2011.
The other elements were venture capital and private equity investment in specialist clean energy companies, which fell 34% to $5.8bn, its lowest figure since 2006; and public market investment in quoted companies. The latter fell 57% to $5.1bn, the lowest since 2004, and down 80% on the peak figure of $25.6bn in 2007. Merger and acquisition activity in clean energy is not counted as new investment, but is an important part of the sector’s development. It totalled $50.8bn in 2012, down 31% from the record figure of 2011. Within this, corporate M&A (as distinct from projects changing hands) was $10.4bn, down 69% on the previous year and the weakest since 2004.
Solar was once again the dominant sector in terms of overall clean energy investment in 2012. It accounted for $142.5bn, down 9% on its 2011 record. Wind saw investment of $78.3bn, down 13%, while the third-largest sector, energy-smart technologies such as smart grid, energy efficiency and electric vehicles, suffered a 7% drop to $18.8bn . Biomass and waste-to-energy was the fourth largest sector, at $9.7bn in 2012, but this was 27% down on the previous year’s figure. Biofuels, the second largest sector back in 2006, saw investment fall 38% to $4.5bn, while geothermal experienced a 39% drop to $1.8bn.
The only sector to show growth in 2012 was small hydro (projects of less than 50MW). This saw a 17% rise in investment to $7.6bn. For the first time, Bloomberg New Energy Finance also published a figure for total investment in carbon capture and storage projects worldwide, although this is being shown separately rather than being included in the clean energy total. CCS project investment was $2.8bn in 2012, down from $3bn in 2011.